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Fireside chat?

Wed Apr 20, 2005 Miss Vicky 

Well, the parliamentary shenanigans continue. The PM has just announced he's addressing the nation tomorrow night. Warren Kinsella figures he's going to prorogue. Scott Reid says that's not in the cards (according to the Newsworld ticker).

The media advisory says he's going to talk about the sponsorship inquiry and the current situation in parliament.

Opposition parties are scrumming as I type this, denouncing Martin's contempt for parliament and his decision to address the nation from the comfort of his office rather than on the floor of the House of Commons.

You have to wonder what's so important that couldn't be said in the House or even the parliamentary press gallery. Layton says he hopes the PM will resolve to stop acting like a majority government and commit to getting down to work and.... um.... governing?

That Jack. He's so optimisitic. Cynical Miss Vicky figures he won't say much of anything beyond "we're going to get to the bottom of this" - try to get the spin to revolve in a different direction (like, away from him). I'm getting as much of a "let's cooperate and make minority government work" vibe out of the Liberals these days as I am from....well.... the Conservatives.

Don't you just want to give them all a time out? I mean, really.

Some people were moved to reply

Flanders Apr 21, 2005 10:50 AM said:

Two of his first 5 words should be "I'm sorry."
Then, he'll probably say that the Libs will do whatever they can to ensure Gomery reports before the next election call (ie, a June vote won't be our fault!). Then, I'd give 2-1 odds that he'll commit to having the Libs pay back all the money that Gomery ultimately finds was unlawfully diverted to the Party.

Then, I'll flip to Rogers to watch the 67's game...

Miss Vicky Apr 21, 2005 11:09 AM said:

Yep. That sounds about right.

This morning Anthony Germain was cracking jokes about the other shows on during that time slot. Funny, but he didn't mention the two that come to Miss Vicky's mind: "In a Fix" and "Jeopardy".

Flanders Apr 22, 2005 10:24 AM said:

well...I got most of it right...the election call within 30 days of Gomery reporting was a wrinkle I shouldn't have missed...tactically, it was the best he could have done, but he's still holding 10-high while everyone else has at least a pair...

And hey, the 67s won in overtime!

Miss Vicky Apr 22, 2005 02:42 PM said:

I was running. No really, like, around a track. Watched it later, though, and caught some of the opposition stuff. I'm not entirely sure he has the upper hand, but the exercise did serve to improve the Libs positioning. They can now blame the downfall of the gov't squarely on the opposition. But is he really serious about trying to govern?

Oh. And go 67s!

Flanders Apr 25, 2005 11:10 AM said:

We'll find out two things this week - whether he is serious about governing (I hope so) and whether or not Jack and the team are ready for prime time (I hope so again)...

The Webgeek Apr 25, 2005 11:21 AM said:

Well, Jack's already getting attention anyway. He's met with PM the PM, and that's been noticed by several news outlets

Miss Vicky Apr 25, 2005 11:39 AM said:

They're trying hard to portray Jack as Monty Hall. But when you actually listen to what he's saying, you'll notice Jack is very careful not to talk about a coalition, but instead to focus on the budget and other legislation that the NDP wants to keep alive. I think this is a smart strategy, but can Jack keep walking such a fine line?

The Webgeek Apr 25, 2005 12:42 PM said:

Well, at least Monty Hall was always the one standing next to the guy in a chicken suit, and, you know, running the show...

Flanders Apr 26, 2005 09:31 AM said:

I was going to try to extend the Monty Hall metaphor by saying Jack should just take the extra spending and forget about the tax cuts behind door number 3...

But seriously, the Globe this morning is reporting that PM the PM is offering spending without rescinding the tax cuts. Assuming the spending is of a reasonable size, JACK HAS TO TAKE THIS DEAL. The tax stuff can always be fixed later. But imagine, in the dozens of ridings where the race is essentially Liberal-NDP, (ie Parkdale, Beaches, etc.) being able to argue that the NDP's presence led DIRECTLY to all this extra spedning on our issues, and without the NDP's presence, this spending would not have happened. It neuters the Liberal line that a vote for the NDP is wasted. What a powerful example to take into a campaign that will happen this year, regardless. This is an opportunity to show the good that the NDP can accomplish in the House of Commons in a tangible way. Take the deal, Jack, let the Tories and BQ do their thing, and watch the caucus expand to 50-60...

Miss Vicky Apr 26, 2005 08:04 PM said:

Well, Flanders, looks like you got your wish.

* $1.6 billion for affordable housing construction, including aboriginal housing
* . $1.5-billion increase in transfers to provinces for tuition reduction and better training through EI.
* $900 million for environment with one more cent of the federal gas tax going to public transit
* . $500 million for foreign aid to bring Canada in line with promise of 0.7 per cent of GDP.
* $100 million for pension protection fund for workers.


That's a pretty good record to head into the election. Is it enough to counter Canadians' addiction to strategic voting?

(BTW Layton's comments on the deal can be found here)

Flanders Apr 27, 2005 10:46 AM said:

What strategic voting? Every NDP candidate now has 4.6 billion reasons they can use to convince left-leaning voters to stick with the NDP. "Without us, this never would have happened. With more of us, more of this can happen." You can even turn back the "Vote for the Liberals to stop the Tories" line by saying no matter who is PM, Harper or Martin, a big NDP contingent is needed to get things done. Besides, if there had been more Liberals, they never would have made this deal, and further, only the NDP has shown that it can make a minority situation work. The NDP is now the only party on the left to deliver on its priorities. The only question for me is which Liberal will I enjoy seeing defeated more, Bulte or Minna?

Miss Vicky Apr 27, 2005 11:35 AM said:

And the near-certainty that we'll have another minority will only help reinforce this message.


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